Fear & greed, with the reasoning

Know how the market
feels. And why.

Three markets — the US, Europe and Asia — each in one 0–100 number, with each day's news read, reasoned, and independently verified into a plain-language account of what moved it.

United StatesEuropeAsia

Free to install. No account, no ads.


One number, eight signals

It reconciles what the market says, does, and fears into one honest number.

Most gauges watch price and nothing else. Sentiscale fuses eight independent signals — the day's news, the market's trend, how broadly the average stock participates, and five reads on volatility and where money is hiding. Each is scored against its own recent history and weighted equally, so no single noisy input runs the gauge.

The same breakdown lives in the app — tap any signal to see exactly what it's reading right now, in plain language. Europe and Asia run the same method on eight signals apiece, each read against its own market's instruments.

What's behind it

US · example
News
Every headline scored for tone, confidence and relevance.
66
Momentum
The S&P 500's trend against its own 125-day average.
68
Breadth
How many sectors are above their own 50-day average — who is actually participating.
62
Volatility
The VIX vs its recent norm — the market's price for fear.
62
Safe Haven
Stocks versus long-term Treasuries — risk-on or hiding.
62
Junk Bonds
The high-yield credit spread itself — what lenders charge for risk.
64
Volatility Curve
The shape of the VIX curve, near-term vs three-month.
58
Tail Risk
Cboe SKEW — what traders pay to hedge a crash.
54

One method, three gauges

The US, Europe and Asia — each read on its own terms.

A gauge that reads Europe through American instruments isn't reading Europe. Every region gets its own volatility complex, its own credit spread and its own breadth — scored against that market's history, never a translated US number. Switch markets in the app; the daily verified “why” follows.

United States

Eight signals

Fear priced three ways, not one.

  • The VIX, its three-month curve, and Cboe SKEW — three separate reads on fear.
  • Breadth counted across the eleven sectors, so a handful of megacaps can't fake a rally.
  • The only gauge with a news leg scored into the number itself.
Benchmark S&P 500
Europe

Eight signals

Read with Europe's own instruments.

  • VSTOXX and its three-month curve — Europe's own volatility complex, not the VIX.
  • A financials leg: banks lead this market in a way they never lead the US.
  • Inputs deflated by ECB reference rates, so a euro move never reads as sentiment.
Benchmark EURO STOXX
Asia

Eight signals

Japan and China, never averaged together.

  • Japan and China read as separate poles, so a Tokyo rally can't hide inside regional weakness.
  • A semiconductor leg — the cycle the region actually turns on.
  • A plain-language rotation line: which market is leading, which is lagging.
Benchmark Pacific ex-Japan & Japan

Where the numbers come from

Free, public market data — read, scored, and checked.

No paid terminal and no private feed. Every input is public data that Sentiscale reads, normalizes, and fuses on a schedule through the day.

01 · Collect

Public market data

The S&P 500, long-dated Treasuries and the eleven sector ETFs the breadth leg counts stream from Finnhub. The VIX, its three-month curve and the Cboe SKEW index come straight from Cboe's public end-of-day files; the European gauge reads VSTOXX and its three-month curve from STOXX's own published history. Every region's credit leg reads the actual ICE BofA high-yield spread published by the St. Louis Fed — the spread itself, not an ETF price ratio standing in for it. The European and Asian gauges deflate their inputs with ECB reference rates, so a currency move never reads as sentiment.

FinnhubCboeSTOXXFREDECB
02 · Read the news

A model reads every headline

A language model scores each story for sentiment, confidence and relevance, then weights it by likely market impact — so one pivotal report outweighs a dozen fillers.

Language model
03 · Normalize & fuse

Each signal vs its own history

Every signal is measured against its own recent norm and mapped onto one 0–100 fear–greed scale, then weighted equally into a single number — so no one leg dominates.

04 · Explain & verify

Drafted, then fact-checked

One model writes the plain-language “why” from the day's drivers; a second, independent model checks every claim against its sources and drops anything unsupported.

Verified

Market inputs feed the gauge only — Sentiscale is a sentiment tool, never a quote feed.


Alongside the gauge

Two readings that don't belong inside the number.

Both sit as their own cards in the app. Neither is folded into the gauge — a signal that moves with the market rather than ahead of it earns a place on the screen, not a vote in the score.

Crowd panic

What people search when they're scared

How hard the public is searching for a crash — stock market crash in the US, Börsencrash in Germany, 株価 暴落 in Japan — charted against its own recent range. Each market gets the term its own crowd actually types. High means the crowd is frightened, and it is the one reading here that comes from people rather than prices.

Google Trends
Crypto

The crypto fear & greed index, charted

The community index from alternative.me, no longer a bare number: a full history you can scrub from a day out to a year, on the same 0–100 scale as the equity gauge, so the two moods can be read side by side.

alternative.me

The difference

A gauge is easy.
Telling you why is the hard part.

Most meters stop at a number. Sentiscale reasons over the day's news to explain what moved the mood — and a second, independent model verifies every claim before it reaches you.

  • One model drafts the explanation; a second, independent model verifies it.
  • Every claim is cited to the exact headlines behind it.
  • Anything its sources don't support is dropped — it never speculates past the evidence.
NYSE Open · 9:41 ET
62
Greed
Why today: Cooler inflation data and strong bank earnings lifted sentiment, while a calmer VIX eased the fear side. Megacap tech led the tape.
Reuters · Inflation cooled Bloomberg · Bank earnings
Verified Cited & fact-checked before display
Week ago55Neutral
Month ago48Fear
Year ago71Greed

A measured edge — shown honestly

When the gauge has been here before, here's what came next.

No promises — just the backtested behaviour for the current band, with its real sample size. Over a six-month test, the reading led the market's next move:

59.5%
Directional hit-rate, 5 days out
+0.19
Information coefficient (≈0 means no signal)
Monotonic
Returns rose across every mood bucket

Not investment advice  A backtest is history, not a forecast — information, not a recommendation to buy or sell.


Lock screen · 9:41
62
Greed · rising
Widget Refreshes through the day

Always one glance away

On your lock screen.
Quiet until it matters.

Pin the gauge to your lock screen. It updates through the day and only interrupts you for an extreme swing or a real market-mover.

  • A self-refreshing lock-screen widget.
  • Impact-gated alerts — no headline spam.

Free, with a Pro tier

Start free. Go deeper if you want the why.

Free

Forever
CHF 0
  • The live 0–100 mood gauge
  • The lock-screen widget
  • Extreme fear & greed alerts

Pro

Pro
Set at launch / month
  • Everything in Free
  • The daily “why” — reasoned and verified
  • Citations: the headlines behind every claim
  • The backtested band signal
  • Per-sector mood breakdown

Coming soon

Get the mood, the moment it ships.

Be first to know when Sentiscale lands on the App Store.